When Will The Dam Burst?

May 22, 2017

In property, as in all forms of investment, it’s important to have a long-term view and bear in mind lessons from the cycles we’ve been through before. The voices of alarm we’re hearing from some pundits now, takes me back to 2011. Then, we were four years into the life of Erskine + Owen and…

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Will it be champagne on tap – or soggy oats?

February 24, 2017

Alan Henderson of Erskine + Owen answers the tough questions about retirement As I write this, it’s Saturday morning. I’m watching my son swim; I’ve just dropped my other son at cross fit. I’m negotiating to not have to drop my daughter at gym, but I know in an hour or so I’ll be picking…

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40% deposit requirement, what’s the impact… and what are your options?

December 7, 2016

Should investors be scared off by the Reserve Bank’s increasingly hands-on approach to the property market? Not necessarily, as there are upsides – it creates a safety valve against potential overheating, and gives rise to some innovative investment vehicles. As investors, we Kiwis are used to a relatively unregulated property market. We’re renowned for favouring…

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Market Commentary April 2016

April 14, 2016

The last month – Highlights on key market indicators Interest Rates: The RBNZ cut the OCR by 25bps last month – down to 2.25%. It cited slowing global growth and declining inflation expectations. We may see an even lower OCR. What does this mean? Interest rates are unlikely to tank any time soon. Net Migration:…

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Is the Auckland market changing gears?

December 21, 2015

During the month of October, several regions around the country reached new record median prices, while at the same time, Auckland stopped to take a breather. While the volume of property sales was up 4% from October last year, they fell 19% compared to September. While Auckland may look to have stopped in its tracks,…

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Same old same old… new Reserve Bank rules change nothing

July 6, 2015

The Reserve Bank (RBNZ) recently proposed a 70% LVR restriction for investors in the Auckland property market. While it was tempting to jump straight out of the gates with a comment, we thought it would be more useful to wait for the RBNZ’s discussion document and provide a deeper analysis of their announcement. In this…

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4th Quarter Directors Market Commentary – where to from here for the market?

December 11, 2014

Despite what we might have called “pre-election jitters” dampening the market a tad, the housing market rebounded in October, and is lining up for a strong finish to the year. Increased mortgage lending that is recovering from 2 year lows, cuts to fixed mortgage rates, and net migration at record highs all provide strong support.…

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1st Quarter Directors Market Commentary – How have the LVR speed limits impacted house prices?

May 5, 2014

In March, the BNZ-REINZ residential market survey of real estate sales agents reveals an ease in market sentiment, as agents around the country reported most regions to be in equilibrium as buyers began to tentatively re-enter the market after adjusting to last year’s change in lending rules. However, anecdotal evidence from the survey is suggesting…

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4th Quarter Directors Commentary – Supply shortage not new news

December 2, 2013

Auckland’s Supply Shortage – not new news to us! While the media were focusing on the international economic crises back in 2011, Erskine + Owen were already discussing their prediction of a housing supply shortage. At that stage there was evidence of a growing demand for property, with a declining number of building consents being…

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3rd Quarter Directors Commentary – Auckland market still ‘hot’

September 23, 2013

Auckland’s residential property market continues to be buoyant and remains the strongest housing market in the country. Demand is strong from both home buyers and investors, however this is met by a shortage of listings, resulting in a lot of demand being left unmet. Key housing indicators continue to improve. August 2013 sales volumes have…

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